It is important to explore—as Edward Miguel does—the factors responsible for the contemporary growth in sub-Saharan Africa because we have been here before. In the first decade after independence, sub-Saharan countries recorded reasonable economic growth before a massive three-decades collapse. Understanding today’s growth may help stem the risks of a new downturn in the second decade of the twenty-first century.
This article has become a book!
Edward Miguel
Cloth / April 2009
“A refreshing take on the fortunes of Africa in the current century and a fascinating compendium of some of the leading theorists of African development.” — Publishers Weekly
By the end of the twentieth century, subSaharan Africa had experienced twentyfive years of economic and political disaster. While economic miracles in China and India raised hundreds of millions from extreme poverty, Africa seemed to have been overtaken by violent conflict and mass destitution, and ranked lowest in the world in just about every economic and social indicator.
Working in Busia, a small Kenyan border town, economist Edward Miguel began to notice something different starting in 1997: modest but steady economic progress, with new construction projects, flower markets, shops, and ubiquitous cell phones. In Africas Turn? Miguel tracks a decade of comparably hopeful economic trends throughout subSaharan Africa and suggests that we may be seeing a turnaround.
Responding to Miguel, nine experts gauge his optimism: Olu Ajakaiye, Ken Banks, Robert Bates, Paul Collier, Rachel Glennerster, Rosamond Naylor, Smita Singh, David N. Weil, and Jeremy M. Weinstein.
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Olu Ajakaiye is Research Director at the African Economic Research Consortium.
This is a response to Edward Miguel's Is It Africa's Turn?
Other responses in the New Democracy Forum:
Robert Bates
Ken Banks
Rosamond Naylor
David N. Weil
Jeremy M. Weinstein
Smita Singh
Paul Collier
Rachel Glennerster
Edward Miguel offers his own response to the