In 1997 the Africa Economic Research Consortium—a network of professional economists, headquartered in Nairobi, but ramifying throughout Africa—launched a study of the continent’s economic performance in the post-independence period. In 2007, it published the two-volume product of this effort, The Political Economy of Economic Growth in Africa, 1960 -2000. Among its many findings is one highly relevant here: An understanding of the economics of Africa requires an understanding of its politics. I participated in the project, and as it was coming to an end, I asked myself: Were we now to address Africa in the period since the year 2000, would we find it much changed? The answer was a resounding “Yes!”
This article has become a book!
Edward Miguel
Cloth / April 2009
“A refreshing take on the fortunes of Africa in the current century and a fascinating compendium of some of the leading theorists of African development.” — Publishers Weekly
By the end of the twentieth century, subSaharan Africa had experienced twentyfive years of economic and political disaster. While economic miracles in China and India raised hundreds of millions from extreme poverty, Africa seemed to have been overtaken by violent conflict and mass destitution, and ranked lowest in the world in just about every economic and social indicator.
Working in Busia, a small Kenyan border town, economist Edward Miguel began to notice something different starting in 1997: modest but steady economic progress, with new construction projects, flower markets, shops, and ubiquitous cell phones. In Africas Turn? Miguel tracks a decade of comparably hopeful economic trends throughout subSaharan Africa and suggests that we may be seeing a turnaround.
Responding to Miguel, nine experts gauge his optimism: Olu Ajakaiye, Ken Banks, Robert Bates, Paul Collier, Rachel Glennerster, Rosamond Naylor, Smita Singh, David N. Weil, and Jeremy M. Weinstein.
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Robert Bates is Eaton Professor in the Department of Government at Harvard University. He is the author of When Things Fell Apart.
This is a response to Edward Miguel's Is It Africa's Turn?
Other responses in the New Democracy Forum:
Ken Banks
Olu Ajakaiye
Rosamond Naylor
David N. Weil
Jeremy M. Weinstein
Smita Singh
Paul Collier
Rachel Glennerster
Edward Miguel offers his own response to the